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RESEARCH, ANALYSIS & TRENDS



       trade  more  than  employment  and  economic  growth.
       Manufacturing  in  these  countries  has  also  started  to
       use more services rather than relying heavily on mak-
       ing and selling their products.

       Currently,  manufacturing  adds  14%  to  global  employ-
       ment  and  16%  to  global  GDP.  However,  the  sector's
       relative size in a national economy varies with its stage
       of development.

       In  industrialized  economies,  they  drive  manufacturing
       output and employment growth. However, when manu-
       facturing's GDP segment peaks at 20 to 35%; it falls in
       an upside-down U pattern. As  wages rise, consumers
       will  spend  more  money  on  services.  The  service  sec-
       tor's growth accelerates, making it more important than
       the  manufacturing  industry  as  a  source  of  improved
       GDP and employment.                                 This segment includes printing and food & beverages.
                                                           These labor-intensive trade goods are the smallest seg-
       Renew  understanding  of  manufacturing's  role.  The   ment, with only 7% of worldwide value-added.
       manufacturing  sector  is  also  changing  in  other  ways.
       Traditionally,  manufacturing  and  services  have  been   Hence, given the significant dynamics, the only way to
       viewed as different sectors. This view is outdated. From   understand  global  economic  activity  is  to  make  a  de-
       advertising to logistics, services add up to a more sig-  tailed analysis of each nation's manufacturing sector.
       nificant part of manufacturing activity. In a  year, every   A new phase of uncertainty and active change
       U.S.  dollar  of  manufacturing  output  includes  services
       worth  19  cents.  More  than  half  of  employees  have   Global manufacturers might have significant new busi-
       moved to service industries in some high-tech and en-  ness  opportunities.  However,  they  must  operate  in  an
       gineering  industries,  such  as  office  support  staff  and   increasingly  uncertain  economic  environment.    Ques-
       R&D engineers.                                      tions  like “Who will be our customers?” and “What do
                                                           they want, and what will labor and other resources cost
       In the future, however, the manufacturing share of em-  in the next ten years?” will be constantly asked to the
       ployment will continue to decrease. The drivers for such   manufacturers themselves.
       trend include long-term productivity improvements, fast-
       er service growth, and global competition faced. These   Expect the emergence of a new global consumer class
       powerful  forces  push  developed  economies  toward   and  that  most  consumptions  will  occur  in  developing
       specialization  in  jobs  that  require  increased  levels  of   nations. This situation creates lucrative opportunities for
       work skills.                                        manufacturers in emerging markets.

       Manufacturing is not monolithic                     In  developed  economies,  the  demand  for  mass-
                                                           produced products is shrinking. In contrast, customers
       Each national manufacturing sector is unique. In some   want  a  wider  variety  of  products,  more  personalized
       nations,  work  in  specific  industries  is  more  labor-  or   designs,  and  a  specific  after-sales  service  to  the  indi-
       knowledge-intensive. Some economies rely more heav-  viduals’ preference. Based on such needs, a wide vari-
       ily  on  transportation,  while  for  others,  being  close  to   ety of new materials and processes, from 3D printing to
       customers’ proximity is a critical part of manufacturing   advanced robotics, indicate a greater demand and drive
       growth.  The  authors  cite  five  general  manufacturing   for more productivity gains.
       segments  in  the  recent  McKinsey  report  and  then
       measure how production factors determine where man-  These opportunities appear in a challenging economic
       ufacturers will build up factories as part of their Go-To-  environment though. In lower-cost labour markets, wag-
       Market strategies.                                  es are rising quickly. Resource prices are volatile, and
                                                           a  coming  shortage  of  high-skilled  talent  creates  more
       The  largest  segment  by  output  (measured  as  annual   financial risk than existed  before the Great Recession
       gross  value  added)  includes  chemicals,  autos,  and   in 2008–2009. With COVID crisis, more manufacturers
       pharmaceuticals. These industries rely heavily on R&D   are seriously considering to mitigate the risk with tech-
       activity, global innovation, and the need to stay close to   nology-based  transformation  in  both  their  operations
       their  customers.  Next  in  size  is  regional  processing.

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